“Mobile operating systems have become the key ingredient in the highly competitive mobile device market. Although the overall look and feel of the device will still play an important role in the buying process, the wrong choice of operating system coupled with an awkward user interface can mean the difference between success and failure,” says Stephen D. Drake, vice president, Mobility and Telecom.
Key findings from a new IDC market outlook include the following:
- Symbian will retain its leadership position worldwide throughout the forecast period (2010 – 2013). Due primarily to the strength of Nokia in markets outside of the United States, Symbian continues to lead all other mobile operating systems.
- Android will experience the fastest growth of any mobile operating system. Starting from a very small base of just 690,000 units in 2008, total Android-powered shipments will reach 68.0 million units by 2013, making for a CAGR of 150.4%. Android will benefit from having a growing footprint of handset vendors supporting it and will finish second to Symbian in shipments by 2013.
- Linux and webOS shipments will struggle throughout the forecast period. Shipments of Linux-powered devices will trend down due to greater emphasis on the Android platform but will not disappear entirely as some vendors will continue to support it. Palm’s webOS, despite growing steadily, will capture limited market share due to limited deployment and availability of devices across multiple carriers.
Interesting projections on the day Apple reported record profits.
And the guys at Distimo have another fascinating monthly report. Among the highlights
- In Google Android Market, 65% of the publishers are located in the United States, 12% in the United Kingdom, 20% in Europe and 3% in Japan.
- Publishers located in Europe price their applications highest with an average of $4.42, which is 49% higher than publishers located in the United States.
- Applications in Apple App Store, Google Android Market and Nokia Ovi Store are priced at around $3.50. Windows Marketplace for Mobile and BlackBerry App World are more expensive, averaging $6.99 and $8.26 respectively.



How is Android not a Linux-based platform?
[...] Apps and OS comparators – Symbian on top, Android strong growth … [...]
Chris,
Android is based on a Linux kernel – but not on the Linux OS (Maemo or LiMo’s platform would probably count as Linux-based platform).
@Klaus – surely there’s no such thing as “the Linux OS” just a whole bunch of different distributions. However, I’d agree that you can’t really count Android as Linux, even if it does borrow (and hack) the kernel.
Maemo is much closer to a desktop Linux distribution (much more so than LiMo as I understand it – although hard to know as LiMo still don’t have a public SDK out) but if IDC are including Maemo then they clearly don’t give much weight to Nokia’s own predictions for their Maemo shipments over that timescale.
Android is Linux! No matter the UI.
[...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by Matt Asay, Ted Shelton, Symbian Foundation, Jeroen v Disseldorp, Daniel Ng and others. Daniel Ng said: RT @mjasay: IDC: Symbian to retain top spot by 2013, but Android to hit 68M units & grow at 150.4 CAGR through 2013: http://bit.ly/c7QWTo [...]
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